The only way to predict the 2020 election is to use the math from the 2016 election.  The most accurate polls in 2016 were the IBD and  the Rasmussen Poll.

National polls now have President Trump up 5 points from his polling numbers on election day 2016. Trump has 47% compared to the 42% he had in 2016.

One anonymous voter said, “I would never admit to wanting Trump in a survey”.  The voter implied that she is frightened that they might come hurt her or her  children.  Since protesters have been burning down churches,  the Virgin Mary, and vandalizing Jesus and tearing down statues of Hispanic leaders such as Columbus, many voters are angry about the small 1% of the liberals who are leaning toward fascist styles of Communism and Bolshevism.

Using the 2016 math, Trump is set to win the same 30 states that he won in 2016,  and will probably add Minnesota, Colorado and even Nevada.

10 More Reasons Trump Will Win

1)  Trump’s Vision – Trump’s clear vision and policies have led to peace, prosperity, and no senseless wars.  The creation of fair policies on immigration, trade, and energy independence have boosted the confidence of Trump voters and libertarians.  Anyone can take 15 minutes to read President Trump’s  Mt. Rushmore speech and his July 4^th speeches to better comprehend his long-term policies, strategy, vision, and mission.

2) The Secret Trump Voter:  A Pennsylvania Monmouth Poll shows (57%) believe there are a number of so-called secret voters in their communities who support Trump but won’t tell anyone about it. In 2016, that percentage was about 5% but it could be as high as 10% this year.  The IBD Poll has Trump and Biden tied in May, and Biden up in July, but again, Trump voters are abstaining or not reporting.

3) No 3^rd Party –  There is no viable 3rd party candidate in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Colorado, Texas, Arizona, New Mexico, Minnesota, Florida, Ohio and many other states.  Trump’s Republican support appears to be up over 5% in averages since 2016 which is a huge amount of enthusiasm and republican votes.

4) Peace and Prosperity: After many years of war and waste of spending offshore, working folks want Trump to continue to invest money in the health system, education, and infrastructure.

5) Promises Kept: The president has followed through with his promises and has greater than 90% support in his party according to latest Gallup Polls up an average of 5% from 2016.

6) Ohio and Florida: In 2018, Republicans won the governorship of Ohio and Florida. This is important as turnout was down in 2018. However, in 2020, the suburban vote will turn out in full again to support mainstream worker candidates such as Trump. If Democrats can present a better case for working families, they may gain support, but only time will tell.

7) Trump Diverse Support at a High: Trump’s support among workers and minorities including Hispanics and others has dramatically surpassed beyond Bush, Romney, and others. If Trump’s minority support holds up next year, they will render Trump unbeatable in November of 2020. Trump is presently polling higher than any other republican with minorities.

8) Proof of Failed Media Polls 2016  – Major news organizations and their experts said that Hillary Clinton had a 91% chance of winning in 2016.  These old media outlets unwittingly misled their readers for over a year with polling that was horribly flawed.  Clinton and her allies lost several billion dollars in campaign money in the 2016 election.

9) Biden Health Problems – Mr. Biden can’t participate in the debates with Trump due to ill-health.   Biden had 2 brain surgeries and there seems to have been a later brain injury after 2018 due to a facelift or other accident.

10) Biden’s pick for Vice President – Biden and his VP pick creates vast problems for all voters.  A pick from California or Illinois adds nothing to his electoral potential.  Even Senator Warren was caught taking minority jobs from Hispanics and African-Americans for almost 40 years before being exposed  that she was not a person of color.

If history is a lesson, the competent Senator George McGovern lost in the biggest landslide in history to President Nixon in 1972. President Nixon won 49 states and 520 electoral votes, and George won 17 votes. Nixon won on a law and order platform which was dedicated to jobs, safe streets,  health care, elder care and social security, environmental protection, mitigating crime, border control and stopping tainted drug death, ending senseless wars, & limiting nuclear proliferation.

With the US Senate in 2020, it is believed that candidates like Senator Cory Gardner will win 50% or more of the Colorado vote because there are no viable independent or alternative republicans on the ballot and his strong Hispanic & Italian support. Hillary lost the popular vote in Colorado and in various other states in 2016 while still winning the electoral votes.  Also, republican on the ballot for Senator in Arizona and New Mexico could also win as Trump is simultaneously on the ballot and the alternate-republican candidates are not on the ballot this year who sucked up 3-9% of the vote in 2016.  These 2016 independent votes lean republican and might saliently sting the democrats in 2020.

The 2020 Prediction ?  As of today, based on the existing economic and global variables,  Trump wins 32 states or more to win the presidency again in 2020. That would be the 306 electoral votes Trump won in 2016, plus 9 from Colorado, and 10 from Minnesota. Thus, a predicted win by Trump by 325 electoral votes for Trump to his opponent’s Biden’s 213 electoral votes.  Trump could also beat Biden in New Mexico and Nevada also as those votes in these 2 states were very close in 2016 and 3rd party candidates boosted Clinton to win 5 states that she may have lost without the alternative 3^rd party republican candidates on the ballot.

Citations and Sources

Tracking Poll – https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_jul16?fullbrowser

Minority Support https://www.newsbreak.com/news/0OCpjylZ/tim-scott-predicts-black-support-for-donald-trump-to-increase-by-50-percent-in-2020

New York Times Experts say Clinton has 91% chance of Winning. http://www.nytimes.com/newsgraphics/2016/10/18/presidential-forecast-updates/newsletter.html

Secret Trump Vote – https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_pa_071520/

Joe Biden Brian Surgeries and Facelifts  –  https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/its-obvious-cosmetic-surgeons-say-biden-had-facelift-before-2020-campaign

Biden Brain Surgeries https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/surgeon-who-operated-on-joe-biden-hes-better-now-than-before-brain-surgery

Nixon 1972 Platform – http://www.4president.org/brochu…/1972/nixon1972brochure.htm

Trump beats Romney with Minorities – https://www.forbes.com/sites/aviksaroy/2016/11/19/man-bites-dog-trump-did-better-with-minorities-than-mitt-romney-did-in-2012/#67a5b3bc35fd

What is J-23?    The term J-23 is a blend of the words  June and 23^rd which honors the end of slavery in the United States in 1874, particularly in cities like New York City and Boston.

Italian Slavery

Celebrated on June 23, this day marks the day in 1874 that the Padrone Act, formerly 18 U.S.C. 446 was Passed in Washington DC  where Italian and Sicilian Slavery had finally ended and had been abolished.  It took 9 years after the Civil War to abolish slavery with our nation’s first “Anti-Human Trafficking Law” to protect Italians and Sicilians and Southern European children from further slavery in the Northern United States and the rest of the nation.

But, woefully, the freedom of Italians and Sicilians was not granted until almost eleven and a half years after President Abraham Lincoln signed the Emancipation Proclamation.

The Italian Freedom day 146 year history holds bold meaning in the fight for liberation today of all ethnic minorities from EurAsia.  The law originally freed Italians from Slavery, but the law later liberated others including Chinese, Japanese, and Mexican Americans.

There are over 60 million people of Latin American and Hispanic descent in the USA today, where even Sicily was part of the Spanish Empire for about 400 years.

The Padrone Act of June 23, 1874, ch. 464, § 1, 18 Stat. 251 (1874) contained this language. The Padrone statute stated:[W]hoever shall knowingly and willfully bring into the United States … any person inveigled or forcibly kidnapped in any other country, with intent to hold such person… in confinement or to any involuntary service, … and whoever shall knowingly and willfully sell, or cause to be sold, into any condition of involuntary servitude, any other person so sold and bought, shall be deemed guilty of a felony, and … be imprisoned for a term not exceeding five years and pay a fine not exceeding five thousand dollars.

REFERENCES

June 23, 1874: Congress enacts The Padrone statute “to prevent the practice of enslaving, buying, selling, or using Italian children” as street musicians and urchins. http://www.digitalhistory.uh.edu/era.cfm?eraID=6&smtID=4

Hidden Latin Slaves – https://www.law.berkeley.edu/files/hiddenslaves_report.pdf

Latin Slavery USA https://www.masshist.org/beehiveblog/2016/02/immigrants-needing-protection-from-themselves-the-padrone-system-in-bostons-north-end

Post Civil War Latin American Contract Slavery USA – https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Padrone_system

The Little Slaves of the Harp: Italian Slavery in New York City after the Civil War

1. Americans have been looking for a “JFK” style president with bold charisma for 50 years.
2. The last 8 years since Reid, Pelosi and Obama were elected have been THAT BAD. The worst employment in 80 years.
3. Trump is a celebrity and a Mega Billionaire. He knows how to negotiate and he actually had better GPA and school grades than Kerry, Gore and Obama. Trump is a verifiable genius in contrast to your career politician.
4. Compared to Cosby, Tiger, Kobe, Hulk Hogan, Weiner, Kardashians, Bill Clinton, Jenner, and reality TV……  Trump’s stuff don’t stink.
5. Nobody cares who TRUMP insults.  Nobody gives a Shmuck as long as he gets and does the job.
6. Trump can insult every nation in the world.  Since middle class families don’t have jobs, can’t pay bills, and have lost their jobs, they are really pissed at the White House and Government.  Thus, the sweet spot of the middle class ONLY wants to revive the USA, which is where they live. People here in the USA DONT care about the situation in Japan, Italy or Kazakhstan.
7. Hillary and her track record is deeply saddening, and she has made here entire fortune via  “Chronie” political payoffs and back room deals.  Plus, Hillary is responsible for the losses of Syria, Egypt, Libya, Yemen, Afghanistan, and Iraq.  Clinton is the first Secretary of State to sit by and allow our diplomats and dignitaries to be:  tortured, beaten, raped and assassinated on US Soil.
8. If Trump turned out to be a CROOK, he may even garner more votes. People would rather a superior business professional over a greedy groveling PC career politician.
9. Our  inheritance has been squandered under the politics of the last 24 years. 16 years of both: Clinton and this last 8 years under Obama and Hillary.  Your National debt has tripled in the last 6 years.
10. To Brash? Keep the insults coming.  Trump is a New Yorker… Thus,…He can’t be a racist or a redneck.

As a note, if Trump switched parties to run as a registered democrat, he would probably have an easier path to win the Convention.

speaking at CPAC in Washington D.C. on February 10, 2011. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)